Might Makes Right
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Norwegian): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 964 | 49% | 2023-05-07 | Won |
| 962 | 873 | 63% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 985 | 993 | 49% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 952 | 937 | 52% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 1163 | 1176 | 48% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1005 | 1050 | 44% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1070 | 918 | 71% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 954 | 984 | 46% | 2019-09-21 | Lost |
| 976 | 912 | 59% | 2019-08-12 | Won |
| 1273 | 1405 | 32% | 2019-02-13 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1101 | 49% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
| 958 | 992 | 45% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1242 | 1309 | 40% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 901 | 1035 | 32% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-20 | Won |
| 931 | 1113 | 26% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 916 | 74% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
| 1089 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-03 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1094 | 51% | 2012-03-31 | Won |
| 932 | 1039 | 35% | 2011-09-02 | Lost |
| 992 | 951 | 56% | 2010-11-30 | Won |
| 1009 | 982 | 54% | 2009-10-12 | Won |
| 1103 | 1015 | 62% | 2009-06-07 | Lost |
| 931 | 862 | 60% | 2006-08-25 | Won |
| 924 | 1029 | 35% | 2003-01-25 | Won |
| 1126 | 1208 | 38% | 2002-10-23 | Won |
| 1080 | 1064 | 52% | 2002-09-15 | Lost |
| 1169 | 978 | 75% | 2001-09-01 | Lost |
| 829 | 847 | 47% | 2001-06-30 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1028.7 vs 1025.5 has a 50.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).