Bitter Defense at Otta
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (British): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1058 | 45% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1004 | 1039 | 45% | 2024-04-10 | Won |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2024-04-07 | Won |
| 918 | 929 | 48% | 2021-01-06 | Lost |
| 946 | 1103 | 29% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 1198 | 1093 | 65% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 1103 | 1033 | 60% | 2014-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1020.9 vs 1031.9 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).