Bitter Defense at Otta
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (British): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1078 | 47% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2024-04-10 | Won |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2024-04-07 | Won |
| 904 | 889 | 52% | 2021-01-06 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2019-09-07 | Won |
| 1102 | 1094 | 51% | 2017-12-16 | Won |
| 991 | 1032 | 44% | 2014-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1000.9 vs 1002.7 has a 49.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).