Smashing the 3rd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 750 | 1206 | 7% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1064 | 1117 | 42% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1029 | 780 | 81% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1049 | 50% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2017-06-02 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-02-25 | Won |
| 935 | 1064 | 32% | 2016-10-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 1052 | 40% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 939 | 947 | 49% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 1107 | 1134 | 46% | 2013-03-03 | Won |
| 1045 | 1019 | 54% | 2012-07-15 | Lost |
| 983 | 953 | 54% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1061 | 65% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1264 | 1170 | 63% | 2009-10-07 | Lost |
| 985 | 933 | 57% | 2007-03-18 | Won |
| 1036 | 998 | 55% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
| 1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2005-09-03 | Lost |
| 1284 | 1234 | 57% | 2005-01-01 | Won |
| 1069 | 1175 | 35% | 2004-03-24 | Won |
| 834 | 1175 | 12% | 2001-12-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 1023 | 51% | 2000-04-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1036 | 74% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1063 has a 48.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).