Smashing the 3rd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 743 | 1257 | 5% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1198 | 1117 | 61% | 2022-07-11 | Won |
| 1029 | 762 | 82% | 2020-10-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1035 | 49% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1110 | 961 | 70% | 2017-06-02 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2017-02-25 | Won |
| 935 | 1198 | 18% | 2016-10-25 | Lost |
| 985 | 1036 | 43% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 939 | 953 | 48% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 1106 | 1065 | 56% | 2013-03-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2012-07-15 | Lost |
| 967 | 970 | 50% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-06-12 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1063 | 934 | 68% | 2007-03-18 | Won |
| 1041 | 998 | 56% | 2007-02-03 | Won |
| 1160 | 1127 | 55% | 2005-09-03 | Lost |
| 1286 | 1333 | 43% | 2005-01-01 | Won |
| 1070 | 1189 | 34% | 2004-03-24 | Won |
| 830 | 1189 | 11% | 2001-12-22 | Won |
| 1033 | 1123 | 37% | 2000-04-01 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1000 | 64% | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1103 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1054 vs 1067.7 has a 48.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).