A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Gurkha): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2024-12-28 | Won |
| 1152 | 1106 | 57% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2022-11-10 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1001 | 56% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1081 | 51% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1030 | 913 | 66% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 979 | 943 | 55% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 949 | 922 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1099 | 52% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1058 | 999 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1106 | 1058 | 57% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1154 | 53% | 2015-02-19 | Won |
| 1058 | 906 | 71% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1144 | 944 | 76% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1058 | 62% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2013-06-11 | Won |
| 870 | 944 | 40% | 2012-08-02 | Won |
| 1024 | 1089 | 41% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1167 | 1058 | 65% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 934 | 1242 | 15% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 963 | 995 | 45% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1001 | 1145 | 30% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-02-20 | Won |
| 1125 | 1264 | 31% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1029 | 79% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 920 | 928 | 49% | 2004-09-18 | Won |
| 1029 | 934 | 63% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1039 | 77% | 1999-11-26 | Won |
| 1248 | 1107 | 69% | 1999-08-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1116 | 35% | 1999-07-31 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1001 | 52% | 1999-07-06 | Won |
| 1032 | 958 | 60% | 1999-05-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1015 | 33% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 1117 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1050 vs 1045.4 has a 50.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).