A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 262 (43 on the archive and 219 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 132
Defender wins (Gurkha): 130
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2024-12-28 | Won |
| 1127 | 1110 | 52% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2022-11-10 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1041 | 44% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1082 | 52% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 991 | 954 | 55% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 1005 | 946 | 58% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1124 | 48% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 950 | 923 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1103 | 51% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2015-02-19 | Won |
| 1057 | 906 | 70% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1037 | 1019 | 53% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1144 | 959 | 74% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1057 | 62% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1057 | 976 | 61% | 2013-06-11 | Won |
| 871 | 944 | 40% | 2012-08-02 | Won |
| 1007 | 1052 | 44% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1164 | 1060 | 65% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 919 | 1243 | 13% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 963 | 995 | 45% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1044 | 1149 | 35% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-02-20 | Won |
| 1127 | 1242 | 34% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 997 | 1110 | 34% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
| 1277 | 1034 | 80% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1062 | 1152 | 37% | 2007-10-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1199 | 43% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
| 969 | 1050 | 39% | 2005-01-23 | Won |
| 969 | 1050 | 39% | 2005-01-23 | Won |
| 920 | 928 | 49% | 2004-09-18 | Won |
| 1025 | 919 | 65% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1039 | 72% | 1999-11-26 | Won |
| 1200 | 1111 | 63% | 1999-08-01 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1064 | 41% | 1999-07-31 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 1999-07-06 | Won |
| 1021 | 959 | 59% | 1999-05-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1036 | 31% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1054 | 1090 | 45% | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1051.8 has a 49.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).