The Drive For Taierzhuang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (14 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Chinese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1113 | 39% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1015 | 55% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 948 | 999 | 43% | 2019-06-15 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-04-15 | Won |
| 974 | 936 | 55% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 936 | 1017 | 39% | 2011-04-29 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-07-31 | Won |
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2003-07-14 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1043 | 48% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1090 | 46% | 1999-10-08 | Won |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 1997-05-31 | Won |
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 1996-09-27 | Won |
| 1105 | 1077 | 54% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1003.6 vs 1037.5 has a 45.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).