Valhalla Bound
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (20 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 56
Defender wins (German (SS)): 81
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2023-08-20 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1178 | 31% | 2023-07-27 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1098 | 32% | 2021-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1133 | 50% | 2020-11-03 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1136 | 25% | 2020-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2019-11-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2018-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1110 | 1054 | 58% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2012-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1022 | 74% | 2008-06-14 | | Won |
| 953 | 1086 | 32% | 2008-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2007-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1077 | 63% | 2005-12-30 | | Won |
| 1048 | 1141 | 37% | 2003-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1000 | 60% | 2001-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2001-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1010 | 60% | 1999-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1050 | 43% | 1998-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 1997-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 1995-08-19 | | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1098.8 has a 43.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).