Valhalla Bound
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (20 on the archive and 118 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 56
Defender wins (German (SS)): 81
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1021 | 49% | 2023-08-20 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1136 | 38% | 2023-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1061 | 43% | 2021-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1125 | 51% | 2020-11-03 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1126 | 26% | 2020-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2019-11-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1222 | 22% | 2018-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1110 | 1055 | 58% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2012-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2008-06-14 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1086 | 42% | 2008-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2007-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2005-12-30 | | Won |
| 1048 | 1141 | 37% | 2003-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1073 | 1000 | 60% | 2001-08-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2001-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1010 | 60% | 1999-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1035 | 45% | 1998-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 1997-03-28 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 1995-08-19 | | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1088.4 has a 45.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).