Totsugeki!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52
Attacker wins (Japanese): 31
Defender wins (Chinese): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1131 | 49% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1122 | 1131 | 49% | 2025-01-26 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1055 | 58% | 2022-09-23 | Won |
| 1106 | 952 | 71% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 932 | 1149 | 22% | 2020-10-23 | Won |
| 931 | 1106 | 27% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 937 | 1007 | 40% | 2020-08-12 | Lost |
| 934 | 1003 | 40% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1031 | 1257 | 21% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1145 | 1089 | 58% | 2020-05-15 | Won |
| 913 | 864 | 57% | 2020-05-09 | Won |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-03-21 | Lost |
| 998 | 920 | 61% | 2020-01-29 | Won |
| 1001 | 903 | 64% | 2018-04-26 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1133 | 53% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1015 | 991 | 53% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2016-09-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 932 | 75% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 1029 | 1001 | 54% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
| 1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 1336 | 11% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2015-01-23 | Lost |
| 1145 | 960 | 74% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1219 | 1027 | 75% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
| 1257 | 979 | 83% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
| 921 | 1066 | 30% | 2013-11-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 934 | 65% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 979 | 1132 | 29% | 2013-02-14 | Won |
| 1116 | 1099 | 52% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 819 | 938 | 34% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 982 | 44% | 2011-01-30 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1018 | 78% | 2010-11-11 | Lost |
| 1089 | 938 | 70% | 2010-09-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1001 | 67% | 2009-07-26 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1111 | 48% | 2009-06-09 | Lost |
| 957 | 951 | 51% | 2009-06-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 1092 | 41% | 2008-08-19 | Won |
| 1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2006-04-21 | Won |
| 1109 | 1097 | 52% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 979 | 955 | 53% | 2006-03-04 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1181 | 29% | 2005-07-13 | Lost |
| 934 | 1259 | 13% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 995 | 918 | 61% | 2001-06-23 | Won |
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 1998-12-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1001 | 52% | 1997-12-24 | Won |
| 1152 | 1011 | 69% | 1997-09-20 | Won |
| 1081 | 1152 | 40% | 1996-12-07 | Won |
| 1089 | 1088 | 50% | 1995-08-05 | Won |
| 1053 | 1248 | 25% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
| 1116 | 1015 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1048.1 vs 1046.5 has a 50.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).