Sbeitla Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (3 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1011 | 51% | 2025-05-19 | Lost |
| 1063 | 981 | 62% | 2022-05-03 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1248 | 32% | 2005-12-15 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1080 has a 48.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).