Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (8 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (New Zealand): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 993 | 41% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 989 | 1086 | 36% | 2013-12-29 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1064 | 58% | 2012-03-23 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1122 | 42% | 2012-03-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 941 | 68% | 2010-05-12 | Won |
| 1069 | 984 | 62% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 965 | 914 | 57% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1087 | 872 | 78% | 1990-05-22 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1037.1 vs 997 has a 55.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).