Cream of the Crop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 939 | 61% | 2025-09-09 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1193 | 49% | 2025-08-16 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1216 | 25% | 2024-12-08 | Lost |
| 1048 | 985 | 59% | 2024-11-22 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1064 | 45% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 848 | 1185 | 13% | 2023-11-26 | Won |
| 995 | 950 | 56% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1039 | 951 | 62% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1038 | 983 | 58% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
| 1069 | 1107 | 45% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 922 | 965 | 44% | 2021-11-24 | Lost |
| 1061 | 965 | 63% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 999 | 976 | 53% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 948 | 1087 | 31% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1094 | 59% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1011 | 1122 | 35% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1090 | 970 | 67% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
| 1156 | 901 | 81% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 881 | 1094 | 23% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
| 1087 | 969 | 66% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
| 1158 | 984 | 73% | 2015-07-01 | Tied |
| 1070 | 1098 | 46% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1081 | 59% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
| 1126 | 976 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | Won |
| 1015 | 1114 | 36% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-09 | Won |
| 1126 | 960 | 72% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 967 | 1156 | 25% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2010-02-19 | Lost |
| 941 | 1167 | 21% | 2009-01-22 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1233 | 38% | 2008-10-24 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1233 | 23% | 2008-09-04 | Lost |
| 973 | 1151 | 26% | 2006-03-26 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1263 | 50% | 2005-07-24 | Lost |
| 976 | 1011 | 45% | 2005-03-10 | Lost |
| 1152 | 990 | 72% | 2005-01-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 999 | 69% | 2004-10-09 | Won |
| 1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
| 887 | 907 | 47% | 2004-03-15 | Won |
| 987 | 907 | 61% | 2004-01-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1141 | 28% | 2003-10-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1060 | 39% | 2002-03-10 | Won |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2001-05-25 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1048 | 59% | 2000-06-03 | Won |
| 1047 | 1076 | 46% | 2000-05-26 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1025 | 52% | 1999-10-30 | Won |
| 1094 | 815 | 83% | 1999-10-07 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1119 | 49% | 1999-10-03 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1073 | 63% | 1999-09-01 | Won |
| 1344 | 1027 | 86% | 1999-06-25 | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1059.2 vs 1045.2 has a 52.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).