The Ring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (20 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1182 | 46% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1193 | 49% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 992 | 1099 | 35% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 992 | 1099 | 35% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1092 | 41% | 2015-02-12 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1127 | 47% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1107 | 1127 | 47% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1143 | 907 | 80% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
| 907 | 984 | 39% | 2012-03-12 | Won |
| 1144 | 943 | 76% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1060 | 66% | 2011-03-07 | Won |
| 1079 | 1047 | 55% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1067.4 vs 1074.6 has a 48.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).