The Ring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (20 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1280 | 23% | 2025-06-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1197 | 24% | 2024-12-28 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1074 | 37% | 2022-08-21 | | Won |
| 992 | 1143 | 30% | 2022-06-22 | | Won |
| 992 | 1143 | 30% | 2022-06-22 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-06-29 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1218 | 21% | 2021-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2020-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1092 | 40% | 2015-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1127 | 47% | 2013-01-17 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1127 | 47% | 2013-01-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2012-09-03 | | Lost |
| 907 | 984 | 39% | 2012-03-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2012-02-10 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1040 | 63% | 2011-03-07 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2003-03-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 1998-01-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1070.4 has a 44.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).