The Ring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (20 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1252 | 18% | 2025-06-02 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1167 | 46% | 2024-12-28 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-06-22 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 982 | 1220 | 20% | 2021-06-29 | Lost |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2021-05-25 | Lost |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2020-03-24 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1092 | 44% | 2015-02-12 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1183 | 45% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1117 | 47% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1093 | 1117 | 47% | 2013-01-17 | Won |
| 1144 | 928 | 78% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
| 928 | 984 | 42% | 2012-03-12 | Won |
| 1144 | 975 | 73% | 2012-02-10 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2011-03-07 | Won |
| 1202 | 1063 | 69% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049.2 vs 1075.3 has a 46.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).