The Last Bid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (7 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1164 | 980 | 74% | 2019-12-05 | Won |
| 875 | 1000 | 33% | 2016-08-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1110 | 1069 | 56% | 2012-04-29 | Won |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2011-08-11 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2005-08-04 | Won |
| 964 | 1063 | 36% | 2004-08-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1022.4 vs 1019.7 has a 50.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).