To the Rescue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1095 | 44% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 999 | 852 | 70% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1080 | 1040 | 56% | 2022-03-01 | Won |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2021-10-16 | Won |
| 1038 | 1313 | 17% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2019-05-03 | Won |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-08-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1132 | 48% | 2015-12-12 | Won |
| 788 | 1051 | 18% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2015-02-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1006 | 53% | 2012-02-27 | Won |
| 1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2009-08-25 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1182 | 45% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1148 | 1180 | 45% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
| 1086 | 904 | 74% | 2008-01-30 | Won |
| 1092 | 920 | 73% | 2008-01-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1003 | 79% | 2007-09-16 | Won |
| 916 | 1076 | 28% | 2006-07-30 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2006-02-05 | Won |
| 1092 | 1189 | 36% | 2006-01-12 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 958 | 1148 | 25% | 2002-11-01 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1076 | 47% | 2002-04-27 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1121 | 61% | 2001-05-15 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-01-18 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2000-01-10 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1058.2 vs 1062 has a 49.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).