To the Rescue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1045 | 1039 | 51% | 2022-03-01 | Won |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2021-10-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 991 | 1006 | 48% | 2019-05-03 | Won |
| 965 | 988 | 47% | 2019-05-03 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1044 | 71% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1033 | 72% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2017-08-01 | Won |
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2015-12-12 | Won |
| 860 | 1028 | 28% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1046 | 47% | 2015-02-06 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2012-02-27 | Won |
| 1095 | 837 | 82% | 2009-08-25 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1185 | 53% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1207 | 1183 | 53% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
| 1078 | 904 | 73% | 2008-01-30 | Won |
| 993 | 920 | 60% | 2008-01-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1005 | 78% | 2007-09-16 | Won |
| 917 | 1076 | 29% | 2006-07-30 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2006-02-05 | Won |
| 1038 | 1120 | 38% | 2006-01-24 | Lost |
| 981 | 1038 | 42% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 980 | 1100 | 33% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 894 | 1209 | 14% | 2002-11-01 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1108 | 38% | 2002-04-27 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1109 | 51% | 2001-05-15 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-01-18 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2000-01-10 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1058.8 has a 49.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).