Hill 253.5
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (30 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 973 | 53% | 2024-03-17 | Lost |
| 1050 | 989 | 59% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 1151 | 931 | 78% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 992 | 1173 | 26% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 1028 | 1003 | 54% | 2020-07-14 | Won |
| 1117 | 1167 | 43% | 2020-01-28 | Lost |
| 1149 | 970 | 74% | 2020-01-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
| 973 | 1041 | 40% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
| 1167 | 1117 | 57% | 2018-06-01 | Won |
| 949 | 979 | 46% | 2017-10-24 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-10-17 | Won |
| 959 | 1167 | 23% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-01-03 | Lost |
| 901 | 1078 | 27% | 2014-04-30 | Lost |
| 973 | 1118 | 30% | 2013-11-03 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2013-04-03 | Won |
| 1340 | 1110 | 79% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1067 | 995 | 60% | 2012-09-24 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1138 | 54% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 919 | 953 | 45% | 2010-11-18 | Lost |
| 1078 | 973 | 65% | 2009-12-12 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1080 | 58% | 2009-12-11 | Lost |
| 1340 | 992 | 88% | 2009-11-15 | Lost |
| 872 | 1023 | 30% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 952 | 1025 | 40% | 2006-09-05 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1208 | 36% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 911 | 1186 | 17% | 1993-06-11 | Won |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1066.9 has a 49.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).