Commando Schenke
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 352 (145 on the archive and 208 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 184
Defender wins (Russian): 166
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2026-05-19 | Won | |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2026-04-24 | Lost | |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2026-04-07 | Lost | |
| 1266 | 729 | 96% | 2026-01-29 | Won | |
| 1075 | 995 | 61% | 2025-08-28 | Won | |
| 959 | 989 | 46% | 2025-03-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1266 | 18% | 2025-03-15 | Lost | |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2025-01-25 | Won | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2025-01-25 | Tied | |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2024-11-09 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1145 | 30% | 2024-10-26 | Lost | |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2024-09-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 933 | 60% | 2024-07-15 | D | Won |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-06-28 | Lost | |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-06-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2024-03-23 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2023-10-15 | Lost | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-09-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-09-23 | Lost | |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2023-07-08 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2023-06-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2023-06-10 | Lost | |
| 977 | 999 | 47% | 2023-06-10 | Won | |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2023-05-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2023-05-19 | Won | |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2023-05-05 | Won | |
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-03-12 | Won | |
| 1024 | 953 | 60% | 2023-03-07 | Lost | |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-02-16 | Won | |
| 1001 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-12-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2022-11-30 | Won | |
| 998 | 989 | 51% | 2022-08-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2022-08-04 | Won | |
| 987 | 989 | 50% | 2022-07-07 | Won | |
| 1092 | 1000 | 63% | 2022-05-22 | Won | |
| 1035 | 890 | 70% | 2022-04-18 | Won | |
| 1077 | 909 | 72% | 2022-04-10 | Won | |
| 966 | 1016 | 43% | 2022-03-23 | Lost | |
| 987 | 1266 | 17% | 2022-03-19 | Won | |
| 1015 | 1170 | 29% | 2022-03-19 | Won | |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2022-01-16 | Won | |
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2021-11-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2021-09-25 | Lost | |
| 1266 | 989 | 83% | 2021-09-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2021-08-22 | Won | |
| 1004 | 1006 | 50% | 2021-01-13 | Lost | |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2021-01-08 | Won | |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-10-22 | Won | |
| 1028 | 999 | 54% | 2020-08-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2020-07-21 | Lost | |
| 988 | 1138 | 30% | 2020-07-16 | Lost | |
| 924 | 1000 | 39% | 2020-05-14 | Lost | |
| 969 | 989 | 47% | 2020-04-18 | Won | |
| 966 | 1057 | 37% | 2020-03-24 | Won | |
| 1001 | 966 | 55% | 2020-01-16 | Won | |
| 1172 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-12-19 | Won | |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2019-12-16 | Lost | |
| 1170 | 1015 | 71% | 2019-12-03 | Won | |
| 935 | 1097 | 28% | 2019-10-14 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1219 | 23% | 2019-05-31 | Lost | |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2019-05-31 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2019-03-27 | Won | |
| 1030 | 933 | 64% | 2019-01-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1152 | 29% | 2018-11-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2018-11-10 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-11-04 | Won | |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2018-10-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2018-10-05 | Won | |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2018-09-09 | Won | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-08-11 | Won | |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2018-08-04 | Lost | |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2018-08-04 | Lost | |
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-06-13 | Lost | |
| 1035 | 1097 | 41% | 2018-05-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2018-05-09 | Won | |
| 1050 | 994 | 58% | 2018-04-08 | Lost | |
| 1015 | 1142 | 32% | 2018-02-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2018-02-16 | Won | |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2018-02-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2018-01-21 | Won | |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2018-01-04 | Lost | |
| 1099 | 839 | 82% | 2017-12-23 | Won | |
| 1099 | 876 | 78% | 2017-11-26 | Won | |
| 839 | 1099 | 18% | 2017-11-04 | Lost | |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2017-10-29 | Won | |
| 1066 | 962 | 65% | 2017-10-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2017-10-28 | Lost | |
| 1099 | 876 | 78% | 2017-10-26 | Won | |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2017-10-20 | Lost | |
| 1013 | 992 | 53% | 2017-05-20 | Lost | |
| 1089 | 1080 | 51% | 2017-04-15 | Won | |
| 948 | 904 | 56% | 2017-04-03 | Won | |
| 966 | 1009 | 44% | 2017-02-20 | Lost | |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-02-03 | Won | |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-10-05 | Lost | |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2016-10-01 | Lost | |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2016-07-15 | Tied | |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2016-02-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2015-09-05 | Lost | |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2015-06-15 | Won | |
| 1142 | 1059 | 62% | 2015-04-12 | Lost | |
| 1048 | 974 | 60% | 2015-02-04 | Won | |
| 1015 | 1170 | 29% | 2014-09-20 | Lost | |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2014-08-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2014-07-27 | Won | |
| 1136 | 1116 | 53% | 2014-07-11 | Won | |
| 1024 | 1135 | 35% | 2014-07-06 | Lost | |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2014-06-09 | Won | |
| 1233 | 983 | 81% | 2014-05-04 | Won | |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2014-05-01 | Won | |
| 1266 | 1000 | 82% | 2014-04-26 | Won | |
| 944 | 1219 | 17% | 2014-04-23 | Lost | |
| 1003 | 1101 | 36% | 2013-12-18 | Lost | |
| 1003 | 1101 | 36% | 2013-12-18 | Lost | |
| 1015 | 1266 | 19% | 2013-12-18 | Lost | |
| 1053 | 1097 | 44% | 2013-10-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2013-09-15 | Lost | |
| 900 | 1000 | 36% | 2013-04-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2013-03-15 | Won | |
| 940 | 954 | 48% | 2012-12-12 | Won | |
| 1039 | 1031 | 51% | 2012-10-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2012-08-11 | Won | |
| 921 | 1071 | 30% | 2012-05-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2012-01-04 | Won | |
| 1000 | 896 | 65% | 2011-05-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2011-03-08 | Won | |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-03-08 | Won | |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2010-12-26 | Lost | |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2010-04-09 | Lost | |
| 1152 | 1087 | 59% | 2009-08-20 | Lost | |
| 1099 | 695 | 91% | 2009-06-13 | Won | |
| 990 | 1000 | 49% | 2008-12-03 | Lost | |
| 918 | 881 | 55% | 2008-05-30 | Won | |
| 1036 | 958 | 61% | 2008-04-05 | Won | |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2006-11-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1073 | 40% | 2006-08-14 | Lost | |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2006-07-09 | Won | |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-05-21 | Won | |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2003-10-22 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2001-11-02 | Lost | |
| 1040 | 1097 | 42% | 2000-05-22 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 1999-02-15 | Won | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1999-02-08 | Lost | |
| 1086 | 967 | 66% | Won |
Attacking (77 wins) average ELOs: 1027.6 vs 1029.5 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).