Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 9
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1137 | 975 | 72% | 2023-09-29 | Won |
| 943 | 1208 | 18% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 901 | 1029 | 32% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 993 | 1087 | 37% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1008 | 1002 | 51% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 956 | 1089 | 32% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 901 | 928 | 46% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 1013 | 847 | 72% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1016 | 1019 | 50% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1134 | 33% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1079 | 922 | 71% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1013.3 vs 1017.8 has a 49.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).