Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (13 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 970 | 65% | 2023-09-29 | Won |
| 924 | 1126 | 24% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 923 | 1029 | 35% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 954 | 1090 | 31% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 923 | 954 | 46% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 939 | 847 | 63% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1016 | 1019 | 50% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1134 | 41% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1078 | 922 | 71% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1006.8 vs 1007.3 has a 49.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).