Guards Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 9
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 998 | 59% | 2023-09-29 | Won |
| 930 | 1202 | 17% | 2022-01-12 | Lost |
| 896 | 1030 | 32% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 998 | 1086 | 38% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 986 | 1019 | 45% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2020-04-24 | Won |
| 896 | 908 | 48% | 2019-11-18 | Won |
| 1013 | 846 | 72% | 2017-12-23 | Won |
| 1016 | 1018 | 50% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1136 | 43% | 2008-04-05 | Won |
| 1186 | 922 | 82% | 2007-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1025.3 vs 1022.9 has a 50.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).