Throwing Down the Gauntlet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (8 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 14
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2024-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2023-01-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2023-01-05 | | Won |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2020-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-06-08 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1133 | 16% | 2017-04-08 | | Lost |
| 961 | 966 | 49% | 2017-01-29 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 996.1 vs 1042 has a 43.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).