Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (19 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Danish): 77
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1151 | 970 | 74% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1214 | 963 | 81% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1067 | 44% | 2017-09-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1086 | 54% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 938 | 64% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1150 | 992 | 71% | 2004-10-26 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1128 | 50% | 2000-05-07 | Won |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 1999-06-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1047 | 46% | 1999-02-26 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 1999-01-31 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1100 | 36% | 1998-12-12 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1074 | 55% | 1998-10-26 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1071.7 vs 1042.7 has a 54.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).