Strangers in a Strange Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 315 (58 on the archive and 257 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 167
Defender wins (German): 147
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2025-09-21 | Lost |
| 928 | 908 | 53% | 2024-11-17 | Lost |
| 881 | 892 | 48% | 2024-04-21 | Won |
| 908 | 991 | 38% | 2022-08-31 | Won |
| 1039 | 1174 | 31% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 800 | 918 | 34% | 2020-10-05 | Won |
| 1099 | 1102 | 50% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
| 927 | 1102 | 27% | 2020-08-12 | Won |
| 942 | 864 | 61% | 2020-08-03 | Tied |
| 1030 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1039 | 47% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1075 | 58% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1109 | 1102 | 51% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1109 | 1039 | 60% | 2020-03-05 | Won |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2017-11-23 | Won |
| 898 | 919 | 47% | 2017-08-08 | Won |
| 1056 | 1037 | 53% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 956 | 951 | 51% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 951 | 956 | 49% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1219 | 33% | 2016-12-07 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1263 | 19% | 2015-11-16 | Won |
| 1065 | 967 | 64% | 2015-06-14 | Won |
| 916 | 1243 | 13% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 1041 | 998 | 56% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 1063 | 1160 | 36% | 2014-06-01 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1003 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 1142 | 32% | 2012-10-07 | Won |
| 982 | 996 | 48% | 2012-09-23 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2012-08-10 | Lost |
| 1220 | 954 | 82% | 2012-08-04 | Won |
| 1096 | 1070 | 54% | 2011-10-09 | Won |
| 950 | 1003 | 42% | 2010-01-21 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1039 | 54% | 2009-11-27 | Won |
| 970 | 1065 | 37% | 2009-09-29 | Won |
| 990 | 1039 | 43% | 2009-02-26 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1228 | 28% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2008-01-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2006-02-10 | Lost |
| 928 | 994 | 41% | 2004-09-19 | Won |
| 1089 | 1051 | 55% | 2004-09-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-07-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2003-03-15 | Won |
| 1139 | 1046 | 63% | 2002-10-13 | Won |
| 983 | 827 | 71% | 2002-06-01 | Lost |
| 832 | 1028 | 24% | 2001-05-06 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1127 | 51% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 985 | 1068 | 38% | 2001-01-26 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1083 | 58% | 2000-08-26 | Won |
| 976 | 948 | 54% | 1999-12-27 | Lost |
| 878 | 1056 | 26% | 1999-01-23 | Lost |
| 1127 | 866 | 82% | 1995-11-08 | Won |
| 1156 | 919 | 80% | 1993-10-01 | Won |
| 1051 | 953 | 64% | 1993-08-07 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
| 1103 | 1089 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1024.3 vs 1039.7 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).