Half a Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (14 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1111 | 50% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1208 | 26% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1029 | 48% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
| 1103 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-09-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1149 | 45% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1138 | 48% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 949 | 1092 | 31% | 2012-10-12 | Lost |
| 947 | 1152 | 24% | 2000-08-15 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1152 | 34% | 2000-06-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1998-09-10 | Lost |
| 942 | 1051 | 35% | 1991-05-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1104 | 35% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1028.9 vs 1085.4 has a 41.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).