Half a Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (13 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (Italian): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 884 | 884 | 50% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1112 | 50% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 998 | 1259 | 18% | 2020-06-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1030 | 67% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1030 | 67% | 2015-09-01 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1155 | 35% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1148 | 44% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2012-10-12 | Lost |
| 949 | 1126 | 27% | 2000-08-15 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1126 | 39% | 2000-06-04 | Lost |
| 939 | 1084 | 30% | 1991-05-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1025.8 vs 1088.3 has a 41.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).