Bridge to Nowhere
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 212 (32 on the archive and 180 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 96
Defender wins (Russian): 116
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1074 | 1006 | 60% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1092 | 42% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-06-06 | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-04-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1005 | 49% | 2014-11-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2014-10-12 | Won |
| 944 | 1000 | 42% | 2014-03-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-02-20 | Lost |
| 926 | 829 | 64% | 2012-08-16 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2011-11-19 | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2010-11-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1000 | 54% | 2010-04-28 | Lost |
| 895 | 1127 | 21% | 2008-11-06 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1027 | 52% | 2007-12-29 | Won |
| 1187 | 989 | 76% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
| 914 | 988 | 40% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 914 | 968 | 42% | 2006-02-14 | Won |
| 914 | 993 | 39% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1063 | 45% | 2003-11-07 | Lost |
| 940 | 843 | 64% | 2002-01-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1056 | 53% | 1999-03-03 | Lost |
| 1103 | 872 | 79% | 1997-08-12 | Lost |
| 997 | 997 | 50% | 1994-02-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1156 | 20% | 1993-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1005.9 vs 1003 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).