Bridge to Nowhere
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 208 (28 on the archive and 180 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 119
Defender wins (Russian): 89
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 978 | 73% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1108 | 1083 | 54% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1089 | 956 | 68% | 2019-05-14 | Won |
| 1056 | 901 | 71% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 1213 | 1213 | 50% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1225 | 1013 | 77% | 2016-01-18 | Won |
| 1008 | 1225 | 22% | 2015-11-16 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1029 | 64% | 2015-08-10 | Won |
| 919 | 1108 | 25% | 2014-11-30 | Won |
| 1008 | 1026 | 47% | 2014-10-12 | Won |
| 1039 | 1144 | 35% | 2014-03-30 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-02-20 | Lost |
| 954 | 958 | 49% | 2012-08-16 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-11-19 | Won |
| 1125 | 1031 | 63% | 2010-11-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1026 | 47% | 2010-04-28 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2008-11-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1008 | 51% | 2007-12-29 | Won |
| 958 | 1008 | 43% | 2007-07-02 | Won |
| 1098 | 988 | 65% | 2006-03-31 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-02-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 612 | 94% | 2003-12-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 929 | 58% | 2002-01-12 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1074 | 50% | 1999-03-03 | Lost |
| 1012 | 872 | 69% | 1997-08-12 | Lost |
| 1002 | 983 | 53% | 1994-02-02 | Lost |
| 919 | 1208 | 16% | 1993-09-10 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 1030.5 has a 54.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).