Into the Fray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-10-06 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 911 | 1002 | 37% | 2024-11-23 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1033 | 47% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 962 | 54% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 1153 | 973 | 74% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 973 | 980 | 49% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 942 | 879 | 59% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-01-10 | Won |
| 944 | 1109 | 28% | 2013-07-20 | Won |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1137 | 42% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2005-11-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1097 | 42% | 1998-12-07 | Won |
| 1051 | 1005 | 57% | 1998-05-22 | Won |
| 1003 | 1136 | 32% | 1997-09-01 | Lost |
| 911 | 1186 | 17% | 1993-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1006.1 vs 1036.1 has a 45.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).