The Old Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Partisan): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 923 | 63% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 912 | 74% | 2020-02-16 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2018-03-20 | Won |
| 923 | 956 | 45% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1010 | 78% | 2014-07-05 | Won |
| 968 | 1116 | 30% | 2013-11-02 | Won |
| 1043 | 1047 | 49% | 2011-08-28 | Won |
| 977 | 931 | 57% | 2010-02-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 998 | 59% | 2008-07-16 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1050 | 57% | 2006-01-29 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 931 | 908 | 53% | 2004-06-09 | Won |
| 844 | 1126 | 16% | 2002-06-10 | Won |
| 1137 | 1126 | 52% | 1995-03-10 | Won |
| 866 | 1069 | 24% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1032.4 vs 1023.1 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).