The Globus Raid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 5
Defender wins (German): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Partisan (BOPA)): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1081 | 1078 | 50% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1001 | 1043 | 44% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 956 | 903 | 58% | 2018-02-19 | Lost |
| 987 | 903 | 62% | 2017-10-22 | Lost |
| 1094 | 944 | 70% | 2014-11-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2014-06-07 | Lost |
| 985 | 1165 | 26% | 2014-01-01 | Won |
| 951 | 889 | 59% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 951 | 861 | 63% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1038 | 1030 | 51% | 2012-09-17 | Tied |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 996 | 1058 | 41% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2010-01-07 | Lost |
| 1017 | 996 | 53% | 2008-07-30 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1010 | 54% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
| 1181 | 996 | 74% | 2005-08-19 | Won |
| 829 | 847 | 47% | 2001-03-03 | Lost |
| 863 | 1015 | 29% | 1999-10-01 | Lost |
| 1012 | 943 | 60% | 1998-08-14 | Lost |
| 881 | 1248 | 11% | 1993-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 994.5 vs 1011.8 has a 47.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).