Among the Ruins
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 233 (36 on the archive and 197 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 122
Defender wins (German): 110
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2021-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1149 | 31% | 2019-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1234 | 1134 | 64% | 2017-04-16 | | Won |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2017-03-30 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1108 | 56% | 2017-03-28 | | Won |
| 1091 | 973 | 66% | 2016-09-11 | | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2016-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-03-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 953 | 57% | 2016-03-11 | | Won |
| 981 | 1002 | 47% | 2016-01-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2015-03-22 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1053 | 61% | 2013-11-15 | | Won |
| 959 | 1343 | 10% | 2013-07-26 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 991 | 53% | 2013-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 951 | 57% | 2012-10-07 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 977 | 71% | 2011-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1045 | 69% | 2010-06-26 | | Won |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2010-05-30 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2009-10-24 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-01-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 915 | 62% | 2008-12-16 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2008-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2008-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2006-02-27 | | Tied |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-07-09 | | Won |
| 1074 | 970 | 65% | 2004-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2004-04-03 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1001 | 58% | 2004-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 987 | 74% | 2003-09-24 | | Won |
| 1133 | 832 | 85% | 2003-01-24 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2002-03-15 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2000-09-09 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1011 | 59% | 1998-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 1994-08-22 | | Won |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1063.4 vs 1021.2 has a 56.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).