Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 177 (26 on the archive and 152 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 98
Defender wins (American): 79
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 880 | 1000 | 33% | 2020-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1131 | 32% | 2019-09-01 | | Lost |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2017-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2017-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 1023 | 49% | 2016-07-26 | | Won |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-05-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2016-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2014-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2014-04-01 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1289 | 29% | 2014-03-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2013-11-07 | D | Lost |
| 1151 | 1134 | 52% | 2013-08-30 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2013-04-05 | | Lost |
| 900 | 1000 | 36% | 2013-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1087 | 48% | 2012-12-18 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2012-05-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2009-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2009-01-31 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2007-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2007-03-02 | | Won |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2006-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2006-02-23 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 1999-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 1998-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 1993-04-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 1993-04-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1023.7 vs 1068.1 has a 43.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).