Brush Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (8 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1197 | 981 | 78% | 2026-11-01 | | Won |
| 873 | 997 | 33% | 2026-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1053 | 887 | 72% | 2026-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2026-06-29 | | Won |
| 1229 | 1000 | 79% | 2026-05-28 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2026-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 837 | 75% | 2026-04-30 | | Won |
| 1298 | 728 | 96% | 2026-04-13 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1084.9 vs 928.8 has a 71.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).