"...Things Are Hot!"
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 9
Defender wins (American): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for both players:
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1289 | 1154 | 69% | 2026-08-31 | A | Won |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2026-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1091 | 57% | 2026-05-17 | | Won |
| 1201 | 1141 | 59% | 2026-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2026-03-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2026-02-28 | A+D | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2026-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2026-02-21 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2026-01-22 | | Won |
| 1069 | 904 | 72% | 2026-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-01-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1050.5 has a 53.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).