Foreshadowing Ruin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 933 | 49% | 2026-05-09 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2026-02-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1141 | 50% | 2025-12-18 | Lost |
| 1099 | 907 | 75% | 2025-12-12 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1187 | 56% | 2025-10-29 | Won |
| 1187 | 1014 | 73% | 2025-08-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1086.3 vs 1058.2 has a 54.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).