Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-05-06 | Lost |
| 967 | 864 | 64% | 2026-04-26 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2026-04-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1003 | 47% | 2026-02-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | 2026-02-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 1022 | 47% | 2026-02-16 | Lost |
| 1123 | 968 | 71% | 2026-02-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 1218 | 19% | 2026-01-07 | Lost |
| 1218 | 910 | 85% | 2026-01-07 | Won |
| 933 | 947 | 48% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 1048 | 960 | 62% | 2025-09-11 | Lost |
| 1039 | 936 | 64% | 2025-08-26 | Won |
| 968 | 1029 | 41% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2025-08-13 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 994 has a 54.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).