Gavin Take
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2026-07-20 | D | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2026-07-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2026-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2026-05-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2026-05-13 | | Won |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2026-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2026-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 850 | 73% | 2026-04-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2026-04-06 | | Lost |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2026-02-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2026-02-19 | | Won |
| 977 | 1090 | 34% | 2026-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 952 | 74% | 2026-02-16 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1198 | 21% | 2026-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1198 | 1000 | 76% | 2026-01-07 | | Won |
| 933 | 1000 | 40% | 2025-09-13 | | Won |
| 1001 | 1132 | 32% | 2025-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-08-26 | | Won |
| 952 | 1029 | 39% | 2025-08-24 | | Won |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2025-08-13 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1012.7 vs 1021.1 has a 48.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).