Task Force Sparks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 1000 | 43% | 2026-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2026-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 953 | 57% | 2025-12-07 | | Won |
| 953 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1098 | 50% | 2025-06-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1000.6 vs 1016 has a 47.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).