Polka's Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (8 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (French): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1137 | 1153 | 48% | 2025-10-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 1054 | 50% | 2025-10-11 | Won |
| 932 | 1014 | 38% | 2025-10-04 | Lost |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2025-05-27 | Lost |
| 1186 | 968 | 78% | 2025-05-08 | Won |
| 781 | 1024 | 20% | 2025-05-01 | Lost |
| 879 | 1153 | 17% | 2025-04-14 | Lost |
| 932 | 1014 | 38% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 971.8 vs 1031.6 has a 41.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).