Hill 424
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (13 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (American): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2026-04-23 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1211 | 30% | 2026-03-15 | Won |
| 1080 | 1030 | 57% | 2025-06-04 | Won |
| 1144 | 1077 | 60% | 2025-04-11 | Tied |
| 1188 | 938 | 81% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 924 | 940 | 48% | 2025-02-27 | Won |
| 808 | 1080 | 17% | 2025-02-18 | Lost |
| 999 | 848 | 70% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-02-06 | Won |
| 1227 | 1179 | 57% | 2025-01-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 1087 | 40% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 965 | 61% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1047.2 has a 49.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).