Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (21 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (Danish): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 951 | 64% | 2025-12-11 | Won |
| 1047 | 1050 | 50% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1023 | 987 | 55% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1182 | 1216 | 45% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 1016 | 879 | 69% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1118 | 47% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1024 | 1142 | 34% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1015 | 54% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
| 1007 | 898 | 65% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1096 | 40% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1096 | 40% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1008 | 55% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1182 | 1023 | 71% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1216 | 1289 | 40% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1158 | 58% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 980 | 1102 | 33% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 828 | 83% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1107 | 879 | 79% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1075.8 vs 1039.2 has a 55.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).