Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (18 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Danish): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 1210 | 47% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 1017 | 927 | 63% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1118 | 47% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 1039 | 1142 | 36% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1015 | 52% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
| 976 | 970 | 51% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1096 | 42% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1096 | 42% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 986 | 1009 | 47% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1188 | 1025 | 72% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1210 | 1290 | 39% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1105 | 61% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 979 | 1112 | 32% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1099 | 831 | 82% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1106 | 927 | 74% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1057.2 has a 52.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).