Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (25 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (Danish): 34
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Danish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1045 | 44% | 2026-05-19 | Won |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2026-03-27 | Won |
| 1034 | 970 | 59% | 2025-12-11 | Won |
| 1019 | 993 | 54% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 991 | 993 | 50% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1271 | 1245 | 54% | 2025-09-20 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1263 | 33% | 2025-09-12 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2025-07-30 | Lost |
| 1102 | 924 | 74% | 2025-07-26 | Won |
| 1188 | 972 | 78% | 2025-07-11 | Won |
| 986 | 1092 | 35% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1015 | 54% | 2025-04-24 | Won |
| 988 | 855 | 68% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1167 | 971 | 76% | 2025-03-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 1188 | 24% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 986 | 1188 | 24% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 992 | 950 | 56% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1271 | 1023 | 81% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1245 | 1264 | 47% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1203 | 52% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 961 | 1088 | 32% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1151 | 820 | 87% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1102 | 924 | 74% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1083.5 vs 1043.8 has a 55.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).