Danish Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Danish): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 932 | 1056 | 33% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 932 | 1056 | 33% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 998 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1323 | 1023 | 85% | 2025-03-14 | Won |
| 1323 | 1053 | 83% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 918 | 1145 | 21% | 2025-03-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 955 | 56% | 2025-03-07 | Lost |
| 992 | 991 | 50% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1115 | 872 | 80% | 2025-02-21 | Won |
| 841 | 1141 | 15% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 1090 | 945 | 70% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1039.5 vs 1019.8 has a 52.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).