The Erft Effort
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (5 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 698 | 920 | 22% | 2025-04-08 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1077 | 58% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1099 | 1029 | 60% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1090 | 45% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1028.2 vs 1013.6 has a 52.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).