The Erft Effort
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (5 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 814 | 930 | 34% | 2025-04-08 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1015 | 63% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1094 | 995 | 64% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 994 | 999 | 49% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1031.6 has a 51.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).