The Erft Effort
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (4 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1114 | 1012 | 64% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
1094 | 1010 | 62% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
1190 | 1195 | 49% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
1033 | 987 | 57% | 2025-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1107.8 vs 1051 has a 58.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).