The Erft Effort
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (5 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 692 | 920 | 21% | 2025-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1060 | 62% | 2025-04-06 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1020 | 60% | 2025-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1143 | 31% | 2025-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1132 | 41% | 2025-01-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 998.8 vs 1055 has a 41.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).