The Erft Effort
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (5 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 692 | 920 | 21% | 2025-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1145 | 1056 | 63% | 2025-04-06 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1024 | 61% | 2025-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2025-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1122 | 991 | 68% | 2025-01-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1011.6 vs 1017.6 has a 49.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).