Four Stars of Valor
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Allied): 14
Defender wins (German/German (SS)): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Allied): 0
Defender wins (German/German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2025-10-27 | Won |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2025-03-30 | Lost |
| 972 | 1009 | 45% | 2025-02-16 | Won |
| 1127 | 1115 | 52% | 2024-09-15 | Lost |
| 779 | 1028 | 19% | 2024-09-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 1039 | 38% | 2024-07-21 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1186 | 47% | 2024-07-08 | Won |
| 1013 | 1219 | 23% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 994 | 990 | 51% | 2024-03-29 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1017.6 vs 1080.8 has a 41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).