To The Cider Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (3 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 4
Defender wins (German): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 903 | 995 | 37% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2024-11-25 | Won |
| 997 | 996 | 50% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 950 vs 1025 has a 39.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).