The Outskirts Of Consthum
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (4 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 930 | 68% | 2025-09-06 | Won |
| 908 | 1097 | 25% | 2024-02-16 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1256 | 50% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2023-12-14 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1125.3 has a 39.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).