A Bit of Colored Ribbon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4 (3 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 2
Defender wins (Thai): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 731 | 1253 | 5% | 2024-08-19 | Lost |
| 1031 | 882 | 70% | 2024-07-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 1086 | 42% | 2023-12-16 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 931 vs 1073.7 has a 30.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).