Good, Lucky, or Both
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 3
Defender wins (British): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1107 | 35% | 2026-07-21 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-03-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-06-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1005.3 vs 1035.7 has a 45.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).