Tasmanian Devils
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 4
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1143 | 52% | 2024-11-09 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 1046 | 1080 | 45% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 753 | 1225 | 6% | 2023-12-16 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 990.3 vs 1112.5 has a 33.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).