Buckley's Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (8 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 997 | 52% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 924 | 62% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 982 | 1007 | 46% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1050 | 1016 | 55% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1038 | 864 | 73% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1169 | 1053 | 66% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1143 | 57% | 2023-09-07 | Won |
| 1168 | 1008 | 72% | 2023-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1001.5 has a 60.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).