Buckley's Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Australian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 908 | 928 | 47% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1156 | 32% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1028 | 942 | 62% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 979 | 1022 | 44% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1051 | 1018 | 55% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 979 | 879 | 64% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1127 | 1058 | 60% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1141 | 55% | 2023-09-07 | Won |
| 1185 | 1029 | 71% | 2023-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1019.2 has a 54.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).