Aussie Spirit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (18 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 24
Defender wins (Japanese): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Australian): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1126 | 984 | 69% | 2026-05-31 | | Won |
| 890 | 1019 | 32% | 2026-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2025-06-30 | | Won |
| 1241 | 1156 | 62% | 2025-04-12 | | Won |
| 1053 | 1181 | 32% | 2025-01-18 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-01-11 | A | Lost |
| 975 | 1138 | 28% | 2024-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2024-03-24 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 992 | 83% | 2024-03-23 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1087 | 52% | 2024-01-28 | D | Won |
| 1161 | 947 | 77% | 2024-01-28 | D | Won |
| 840 | 1038 | 24% | 2023-12-18 | | Lost |
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2023-12-03 | | Won |
| 734 | 1187 | 7% | 2023-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1182 | 44% | 2023-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2023-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2023-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1033.8 vs 1058.1 has a 46.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).