Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 31
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1181 | 1022 | 71% | 2025-08-19 | Won |
| 1189 | 1177 | 52% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1016 | 72% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 886 | 917 | 46% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 869 | 878 | 49% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1048 | 54% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 996 | 1082 | 38% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 1107 | 1151 | 44% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1052 | 40% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1027 | 873 | 71% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1028 | 1184 | 29% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1191 | 1181 | 51% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 886 | 1044 | 29% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1200 | 1090 | 65% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1049.6 has a 50.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).