Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (22 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2026-06-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2026-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-09-29 | | Won |
| 1234 | 1016 | 78% | 2025-08-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1208 | 23% | 2025-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2025-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1005 | 76% | 2025-05-16 | | Won |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2025-01-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2024-12-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2024-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 1031 | 52% | 2024-08-02 | | Won |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2024-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 1054 | 43% | 2024-05-11 | | Won |
| 1060 | 907 | 71% | 2024-05-11 | | Lost |
| 999 | 841 | 71% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1242 | 28% | 2024-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1149 | 31% | 2023-10-26 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2023-10-19 | | Lost |
| 850 | 963 | 34% | 2023-10-05 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2023-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-22 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1045.8 vs 1031.3 has a 52.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).