Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (22 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1143 | 1030 | 66% | 2026-06-15 | Won |
| 1030 | 1097 | 40% | 2026-05-02 | Lost |
| 993 | 1034 | 44% | 2026-04-08 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1097 | 39% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1205 | 972 | 79% | 2025-08-19 | Won |
| 1185 | 1203 | 47% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1070 | 45% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1203 | 986 | 78% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 868 | 917 | 43% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 869 | 878 | 49% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1035 | 56% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1021 | 51% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 1211 | 1097 | 66% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1035 | 46% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1026 | 907 | 66% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 855 | 70% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1097 | 1263 | 28% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 986 | 1028 | 44% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1083 | 1070 | 52% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 868 | 998 | 32% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1113 | 1073 | 56% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1050.2 vs 1035.7 has a 52.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).