The Cloak of Disorder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (16 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Chinese): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1049 | 44% | 2026-03-01 | Won |
| 1110 | 1020 | 63% | 2026-02-14 | Won |
| 1131 | 949 | 74% | 2026-02-10 | Won |
| 1005 | 1264 | 18% | 2026-02-07 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1306 | 50% | 2026-01-11 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1042 | 56% | 2025-12-27 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2025-09-26 | Won |
| 1264 | 1144 | 67% | 2025-07-27 | Lost |
| 1147 | 934 | 77% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 934 | 1066 | 32% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1073 | 1176 | 36% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 1213 | 1203 | 51% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 1000 | 780 | 78% | 2023-07-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1092.6 vs 1072.2 has a 52.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).