The Cloak of Disorder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (13 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (Chinese): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1249 | 20% | 2026-02-07 | Lost |
| 1307 | 1307 | 50% | 2026-01-11 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1073 | 52% | 2025-12-27 | Won |
| 1053 | 1068 | 48% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 990 | 990 | 50% | 2025-09-26 | Won |
| 1249 | 1152 | 64% | 2025-07-27 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1097 | 57% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1097 | 932 | 72% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1085 | 1184 | 36% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 1226 | 1170 | 58% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1062 | 49% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 780 | 80% | 2023-07-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1109.3 vs 1088.3 has a 53.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).