The Cloak of Disorder
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 20
Defender wins (Chinese): 19
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2026-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1031 | 47% | 2026-03-01 | D | Won |
| 1126 | 1039 | 62% | 2026-02-14 | | Won |
| 1098 | 949 | 70% | 2026-02-10 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1263 | 19% | 2026-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1315 | 14% | 2026-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2025-12-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2025-10-25 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-09-26 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1143 | 67% | 2025-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1156 | 47% | 2024-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-07-12 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1156 | 38% | 2024-07-09 | | Won |
| 1243 | 1224 | 53% | 2023-10-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1021 | 47% | 2023-08-06 | | Won |
| 977 | 780 | 76% | 2023-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1069.6 has a 49.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).