Bear Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (4 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (Native American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1013 | 54% | 2025-01-28 | Won |
| 1094 | 1139 | 44% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 1048 | 787 | 82% | 2024-01-25 | Won |
| 996 | 957 | 56% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1045.5 vs 974 has a 60.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).