Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (10 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 852 | 1021 | 27% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 852 | 1021 | 27% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2025-06-05 | Won |
| 1025 | 1051 | 46% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 941 | 1099 | 29% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 972 | 975 | 50% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1156 | 1137 | 53% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 948 | 1059 | 35% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 896 | 908 | 48% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 994.2 vs 1058.8 has a 40.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).