Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (14 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (German): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1002 | 56% | 2025-12-17 | Lost |
| 975 | 1123 | 30% | 2025-11-05 | Lost |
| 969 | 984 | 48% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 875 | 984 | 35% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2025-06-05 | Won |
| 969 | 1006 | 45% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 959 | 1070 | 35% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 966 | 939 | 54% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1144 | 1160 | 48% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 1047 | 1094 | 43% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1087 | 59% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1006 vs 1042.3 has a 44.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).