Down Number Two Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 948 | 1067 | 34% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1154 | 47% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1008 | 1187 | 26% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1176 | 28% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 1232 | 1067 | 72% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1083 | 922 | 72% | 2023-01-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.9 vs 1067.3 has a 47.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).