Down Number Two Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (11 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (Japanese): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 948 | 1028 | 39% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1155 | 48% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1040 | 1156 | 34% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1113 | 36% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1107 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 1203 | 1028 | 73% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 986 | 1028 | 44% | 2023-01-17 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1067.9 has a 46.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).