Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (16 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1263 | 17% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1139 | 1093 | 57% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1156 | 39% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1263 | 1013 | 81% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1330 | 19% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1012 | 51% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1099 | 45% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1087 | 60% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 927 | 980 | 42% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1039 | 69% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1065 | 39% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 964 | 1039 | 39% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 946 | 755 | 75% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1030 | 60% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1066.4 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).