Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Slovakian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1182 | 21% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 994 | 55% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1080 | 51% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1182 | 1156 | 54% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1077 | 999 | 61% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1347 | 14% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1263 | 20% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1028 | 46% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 995 | 1152 | 29% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1087 | 49% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 965 | 1056 | 37% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1160 | 945 | 78% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1146 | 28% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 945 | 51% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 944 | 698 | 80% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1017 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1037.6 vs 1069.6 has a 45.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).