Moment of Truth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (16 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Slovakian): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 1252 | 19% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1133 | 1092 | 56% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1202 | 33% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1252 | 1004 | 81% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2023-05-23 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1323 | 17% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
| 1040 | 996 | 56% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1100 | 43% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1086 | 66% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 998 | 980 | 53% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1060 | 40% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 963 | 1004 | 44% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 938 | 788 | 70% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1030 | 57% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1069.1 vs 1062.8 has a 50.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).