Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (4 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 7
Defender wins (Free French): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 1045 | 41% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1148 | 44% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1029 | 954 | 61% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1067 vs 1036.5 has a 54.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).