Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (6 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 10
Defender wins (Free French): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1174 | 34% | 2025-06-27 | Won |
| 788 | 1057 | 18% | 2025-06-13 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1050 | 50% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1150 | 44% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1057 | 998 | 58% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1072.2 has a 45.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).