Goats to Lure the Tiger
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (4 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 7
Defender wins (Free French): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1039 | 48% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1111 | 57% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1035 | 945 | 63% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 918 | 1019 | 36% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 1028.5 has a 50.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).